There are many models being discussed right now with attempts to predict what will happen with the COVID-19 pandemic.
I urge you to be cautious with COVID-19 projections.
Every model begins with assumptions. Any error or unexpected variation in these assumptions builds on the other assumptions (and their errors/variations) and results in potentially inaccurate conclusions for many of these models.
- Take (common sense) appropriate actions to minimize risk
- Social distancing
- Hand washing
- No face touching
- Disinfecting high-touch surfaces)
- Feel free to listen to the possible model outcomes, but avoid thinking of them as a certainty.
What ends up happening will depend entirely on how we, as a society, react to this disease.
- Take it seriously
- Do the actions to not put yourself or your family at risk