It takes you seeing 440 people to find a person with COVID in Orlando today

Using today’s numbers for Orange and Osceola counties in Central Florida, I calculate you need to run into 440 people to find 1 person actively infected with COVID-19! Additionally, I think that number is overly generous. Those who are symptomatic with COVID-19 will likely be staying home. Your risk of …

So Many COVID-19 Models and Predictions

There are many models being discussed right now with attempts to predict what will happen with the COVID-19 pandemic.   I urge you to be cautious with COVID-19 projections.   Every model begins with assumptions. Any error or unexpected variation in these assumptions builds on the other assumptions (and their …